Latest Party Polls Translated Into Parliamentary Seats

Today this is from of the latest polls from Optinum Research regarding Westminster voting intentions Which gives the following for each of the main parties

LAB: 28%
CON: 22%
BREX: 21%
LDEM: 11%
GRN: 6%
UKIP: 4%

No percentage given for Change UK, but one can hazzard a guess it would be 2% based on process of elimation
Put through the calculations at electoralcalculus.co.uk this would come out as


Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON43.5%31822.0%0104-104214
LAB41.0%26228.0%568+48310
LIB7.6%1211.0%111+1022
UKIP1.9%04.0%00+00
Green1.7%16.0%00+01
SNP3.1%353.7%200+2055
PlaidC0.5%40.7%00+04
ChUK0.0%02.0%00+00
Brexit0.0%021.0%260+2626
Minor0.7%01.6%00+00
N.Ire1800+018

In other words, a minority Labour government, although it has been clear for some while that unless the Conservatives do something drastic, it could lose the next general election. As for Labour the question is whether any of the small parties would support them, and I doubt they will, unless they do a deal with the SNP, which would cause some uproar. As for Change UK, if they want to survive they clearly need to make some drastic moves

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